The Current Fragmenting of the U.S.A (and how the 2020 Election can stop it), The Joe Biden Epilogue

Part 1 Can Be Found Here: The Green God

Part 2 Can Be Found Here: USA Deserved to be Che’d

Part 3 Can Be Found Here: The Upcoming Civil War Among the Democrats

Part 4 Can Be Found Here: Erasing the Manifest Destiny Mindset

Epilogue: The Case for Joe Biden, and Why He’s Likely Going to Win

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I am going to do two things here:

Discuss why you have to vote for Joe Biden.

And

Why barring an epic mistake or a completely wild curveball, Joe Biden is more than likely going to win this election. You should definitely vote, but odds are he’s going to win, and the key is ultimately to win by a landslide to prevent supreme court shenanigans involving recounts.

Joe Biden is no Donald Trump, and that’s all you need to know. So simple. Donald Trump is the cruelest president since Nixon, and the worst president since the douchebag Andrew Johnson that took over for Abraham Lincoln after the assassination and started undoing all the hard work to try to help Black Americans assimilate into American culture, politics, and life in general. But I’m not here to constantly bash on Trump, despite how easy that is, I’m here to prove to you that voting for Biden is not going to result in a disaster; even if it may not create as much progress and change that this country oh so desperately needs.

Joe Biden has been in politics for generations, has professional relationships with Democrats, Independents, Republicans, and essentially most of the White House. His eight years with Obama was a successful turnaround of an economy that had crashed and burned, and even though the Republicans were hostile towards Obama, Biden’s ability to reach across and get deals done was notably impressive considering the extreme efforts to ensure Obama survives only one term (didn’t work, but boy was there a lot of damage).

Even though he is not as progressive as the Bernie Bros. and the Squad Stans would like, Biden doesn’t have the ignorance or the hard-headed, hot-headed, childish mannerisms of Trump; in other words he’s willing to learn, grow, evolve even during these late years. Joe Biden was supplemental in making gay marriage legal across the country, he took on corruption on foreign soil (*insert Hunter Biden snark here, but as a reminder the Republicans had the House and didn’t see any problems until years later when a thrashing Trump wanted to discredit the presidential run of Biden*), he was the proper partner to Barack Obama without becoming too much of a panderer or a yes man (*looks at Mike Pence*).

Biden has suffered through insurmountable personal tragedies, which along with his Catholic faith gives him an ability to be sympathetic towards the tragedies we are seeing today; a sympathy we desperately need nowadays but have not been getting from the Trump Administration. We’ve had hundreds of bills lined up at the Senate, yet they are on vacation AGAIN without passing an essential covid relief bill. There’s also Biden’s professional setbacks, from an embarrassing presidential campaign in 1988 to him having a politician’s worst nightmare niche: a stuttering issue that limits his speech, which shows the man is not a quitter even after the worst losses. Joe Biden is smarter than he sounds, and its because the speech impediment and advanced age makes his appearance more suspect than it has to be. What also doesn’t help is his old-school ways which results in verbal deliveries that come off as dated, sometimes bland, and sometimes too separated from the current American lexicon (malarkey is a word nobody uses). But at least he doesn’t embrace and share conspiracy theories (*looks at Trump’s Twitter account*).

Side-Note: Imagine a 2021 in which you wake up every morning and NOT have to worry about what the president is tweeting and which world leader he decided to randomly insult.

But Joe Biden isn’t in this race for personal gain, he’s not here to try to strike up a favor, or to re-write history. Biden is current on the national stage because he personally felt that the United States is losing its way, and he claims it all started with Charlottesville. What’s incredible is that the murder of the protestor in the midst of white supremacists chanting anti-Semitic statements was the tip of the shit iceberg of the Trump Administration. When Charlottesville happened, we hadn’t even reached Puerto Rico mistreatment, assassinations, cages stuffed with unregistered migrants and refugees, refusal to embrace the Black Lives Matter movement, and all the hatred that would culminate to a pandemic that wasn’t avoidable but was largely possible to contain within months under right leadership.

The stack of atrocities, corruption, and stupidity (guys, Trump wanted to SELL PUERTO RICO and BUY GREENLAND and threw temper tantrums when he couldn’t get either shitty thing done) was piling up in Biden’s mind, and even though he’s probably still reeling from the death of one of his sons, he couldn’t take it much longer. It feels like an eternity ago, but Biden was among the LAST of the Democrats to decide to run for president, instantly becoming the favorite. Biden saw an America that was crumbling, so even if you don’t fully agree with his policies, at the very least among the last two major candidates standing, he’s the one that sees that we need to stop the backwards progress and stop all the chaos that has been brewing. The Trump Administration stopped having a plan for the coronavirus months ago, and as of this writing cases are almost at July levels and a vaccine is nowhere in sight (…as expected…).

Biden cares about this country, and even picked a strong running mate to challenge him and potentially take over in case the pressures of being president becomes too much. If you think about it, Kamala Harris is one of the strongest potential vice presidents we’ve had this century if not the strongest. So Joe got a strong partner to keep him in check, he’s open to changes, he’s willing to work with the other party (and rumor has it considered Republican politicians for his cabinet), he has plans for the coronavirus and beyond, Biden has publicly admitted his political faults and commitments to fix them (Crime Bill, Deportations from 2008-2016), he firmly has the support of nearly the entire party nationwide (which let’s be honest, didn’t happen in 2016 after the way things transpired in the primaries), and most importantly (to me anyway), he has the support from the progressives who are providing the major transformative ideas that can indeed fix the problems created by the last several administrations, starting with Reagan.

Also most importantly, he’s not Trump. Duh.

Now here’s why Joe Biden is likely to win, even though this should not be a notice to take things easy and not participate in the election: because he didn’t fumble the campaign like Hillary Clinton and her team.

The 2016 Election in general was a disaster of epic proportions. Hillary Clinton’s nomination was controversial among the Bernie Bros. crowd, especially with the leaks concerning how Bernie disrupted what was supposed to be an easy sail to the end of the primary, which led to a smaller overall turnout than what the stakes were implying. Donald Trump was not taken seriously until it was too late, and through his rock star persona mixed with dog whistles and a more unconventional personality gave him a surprise-surprise nomination win. Jeb Bush, this election was yours man, this was yours. Also, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio were far stronger candidates but performed miserably as they let Trump insult and meme them to death. Surprised Ted Cruz is still married…

On November 2016, Hillary Clinton had more votes, way more votes, but lost key states in this severely broken electoral college system, losing states that had previously been won easily by Barack Obama. Gary Johnson had the highest third-party turnout of any candidate since 1996, with 4.5% of the vote. Even the Green Party showed up with 1.5 million votes. Bernie Sanders wasn’t even running and ended up with electoral votes and 111,000 write-in votes. Harambe (NEVER FORGET) ended up with votes. Voter turnout increased but was only at 56%, still a bit off from 2008 when Obama had nearly 70 million votes in the midst of 58% voter turnout. Third-party voters really hurt Hillary hard, as they whether went with Stein/Johnson, put Bernie in, or went with Trump.

Because of the polls, the way the media was shaping up the battle between Trump and Clinton, and because of the completely polarizing campaigns of Bernie first then Trump, it was greatly assumed that Clinton was going to win. She should have won. She should have had this in the bag. But she didn’t visit Wisconsin, didn’t focus as much on the Midwest region, and it ended up shockingly costing her Wisconsin as well as Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio. Also there’s the issues of sexism, racism, and that last-week ridiculous report about her e-mails being investigated that really made her even more polarizing than the usual subtle disconnect seen throughout her campaign. Her debate performances weren’t the strongest either, as she spent most of the time having to deflect and not quite figuring out how to confront the bully while making her points.

Joe Biden’s team in 2020, as well as the circumstances, are much stronger in the Democrats’ favor this time around. Even though there were more Dems competing for the nomination and Biden struggled at first, ultimately his light-gamble focus on South Carolina and Super Tuesday as opposed to the first three states paid off magnificently, and after that infamous S.C. landslide win all the other strong nominees except for Bernie Sanders folded and joined his side. Bernie, unlike in 2016, conceded a lot sooner because of the pandemic and because he could not regain footing after Super Tuesday’s wipeout losses. Also, Bernie was more willing to drop out in favor of ensuring that Trump doesn’t gain any advantage. Bernie had a far far stronger message towards his disappointed (yet again) supporters in 2020, helping Biden in the process. Also, the concept of the Democrats having full power of the White House has the progressives salivating.

Biden’s focus on middle class Americans did amazing wonders, as he was able to shake off the Wall Streetisms that was hurting Hillary Clinton, even shifting suburban and rural women from Trump to his side. He’s been consistent in his message, has been vital in revealing his coronavirus plans and plans beyond the pandemic, has remained mostly scot-free from scandals that were not invented by nervous Republicans (as a reminder, Hunter Biden is a disconnected non-story that also is hypocritical to point out considering the Trump family parading all over the White House today). To also point out, the Democratic Party in general has a more structured message in 2020 when compared to their awkward victory lap in 2016, with headliners Michelle and Barack Obama publicly ripping Trump through the coals now that they don’t have the White House restrictions, and The Squad making intense gains among the minority groups that Dems over the past few elections have neglected. And, it bears repeating, it helps that Joe Biden is not a woman. Yea, sexism definitely harmed Clinton.

Like him or not, Joe Biden’s debate performances were also much stronger than Hillary’s showdowns four years ago. The first debate was a shitshow beyond shitshows, but we all know that it was a mix of the moderator struggling to contain Trump’s strategies to try to trip up Biden on EVERY POSSIBLE GIVEN CHANCE. Biden wasn’t prepared to see Trump at his worst behavior, and mix that with his stutters, and he had to battle the tide to survive. But survive he did, and he came out very unscathed. The second debate was cancelled and turned into a competitive town hall, and not only did Biden have stronger ratings, but he also came out of that with minimal blemishes, while Trump didn’t have the layup of an event he expected with some tough questions.

Side-Note: For someone who has survived on personal image, its strange that Donald Trump hasn’t figured out how to soften his touch in the election season towards the media, as he had burned too many bridges to receive the 2016 election treatment. Between the NBC town hall fiasco and the 60 Minutes mess, this is quite the strange misstep of a business public relations connoisseur.  

Joe Biden has also avoided attacking Trump’s voting block, focusing more on Trump himself. Biden doesn’t have a Basket of Deplorables controversy, he doesn’t have the furious pushback from insulted Republican voters (let’s be honest, this time the remaining Trump voters love Trump more than they despise Biden) and instead has even made a little bit of gain with normally-Red voters. He’s gotten verbal support from Republicans like John Kasich, Cindy McCain, Colin Powell, while getting financial support from Republican groups like The Lincoln Project. Biden even reclaimed the third-party vote that Obama easily possessed and Hillary perplexedly lost. Biden has maintained a 10+ percentage lead, with only the Electoral College being the one obstacle since he’s pretty much guaranteed to win the popular vote. As a reminder, the Electoral College should die.

Biden, after a few stumbles in the primaries, has pretty much made all the right moves, and also stayed away from the spotlight when necessary, putting more spotlight on a Donald Trump that has horrifically mishandled the pandemic and its led to the death of over 220,000 Americans and rising, as well as the underemployment rates going up, poverty rates rising, cases STILL rising, and homelessness rates also threatening to explode. New York City, the heart and soul of the country, has seen its population drop a whopping 5%. Republican or Democrat, you cannot see that stat and conclude that the United States is better off now than it was four years ago. So what next?

70 million. High number, would be the record, but a feasible number.

If the Democrats, angry Republicans distancing themselves from the kult, and underrated independent voter block can reach the 70 million vote threshold for Biden, a number that Obama nearly reached back in 2008, then the win is guaranteed. Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, Arizona would flip, and he would also gain those scattered individual electoral votes that on 2016 were given to *checks paperwork* Bernie Sanders, John Kasich, and…Spotted Eagle?

Even Florida and Texas would be on the block to flip blue for Biden, as long as the turnout remains as high as its been since early voting and mail-in voting started. Biden definitely has the lead nationally and will likely pass Hillary Clinton’s vote totals, but he needs to go further and reach 2008 Obama numbers. Donald Trump is unlikely going to pass his 62.9 million, will probably flirt between 59-60 million. Winning by over 7 million votes would make it literally impossible to dispute. Winning by 9-10 million might even result in Donald Trump just quitting and giving Mike Pence the last month of the term. But before you write your Handmaid’s Tale drafts, that likely will result in very little before Biden and the Dems take over. I don’t see the gap being THAT big, but that would definitely be a fun scenario to witness.

Joe Biden’s one last remaining hope (besides Trump giving up and running away) is for the registered voters to show up at the polls, and ensure that Biden keeps that giant lead through mail-in and early voting before Election Day. Zero chance Donald Trump could try any 2000 Election-esque shenanigans in stopping any sort of progress if Biden has a giant blue spot all over the map. Biden has the strength, the support, the momentum, and none of the sudden last-minute uncertainty that had surrounded Hillary Clinton. The electoral PROCESS has uncertainty, but not necessarily the candidate. Barring Trump threatening the process, this election is just about in the bag. Of course, with 2020 providing so many twists, turns, and dirty surprises, the majority of Americans have remained extremely worried, stressed, and nervous, so it makes sense to not take the foot off the pedal.

My suggestion is for Biden to campaign heavy in Texas, then ensure that he ends the rallying in the upper Midwest and Chicagoland area and ensure that any and all remaining undecideds visualize a future without Trump and instead with a president who will probably never be on his Twitter. With a slight twitch of uncertainty, this election is Joe Biden’s to lose.

But yea, please go out and vote.

And I’ll see you on the other side.

Maybe.

#VOTE #Biden2020 #BernieBroForever #KillTheKult #TheSquadStan